Sitsiba kuncwadi olungeyonyani oludla ngokusetyenziswa yile bhlog ukuze sifikelele kolunye uhlobo loncwadi ngehlabathi esiphila kulo. Ngokuba funda ikholoneli UPedro Banos kukugxila kwimvelaphi neziphumo zokudityaniswa kwehlabathi, kwimidlalo enomdla; kwimilinganiselo engenakwenzeka; kwiindaba zobuxoki; kulawulo lwabemi..., zonke zifana nethunzi elimfiliba elalatha kunyango olwahlulwahlulwayo lwabantu, luvezwe ngokuphandle kwintando yabanamandla.
Kwaye, njengoko ubona, Lo mba uphela uvakala uyintsomi ngakumbi kunayo nayiphi na inoveli. Yinto ekufuneka siyiphile, iintsuku ezinenqaku orwelian, mhlawumbi iphuhliswe ngcono ngakumbi kwingcamango yayo ye-dystopian, egxininiswe ekuzikhohliseni, ngokuzithemba okuqinileyo kwidemokhrasi engeyonyani. Okubi kunabo bonke kukuba i-trompe l'oeil yehlabathi lethu iphakama njengaye ububi obuncinci, ukwakhiwa okuyimfuneko kweli xesha.
Okumangalisayo kukuba, ingxaki enkulu njenge-Covid-19 yalungiswa ngcono kwilizwe elinjenge China apho Ulawulo-melo luyakwazi ukumanyanisa ukulunga komntu wonke ngokuncama umntu. Kwelinye icala lehlabathi, olo lawulo lucacileyo alunakwenziwa kwingxaki yezempilo esinethemba lokuba ngenye imini iya kudamba. Kwaye kunjalo, ikwasebenza oku kulahlwa komntu ngenxa yenzuzo eqhelekileyo, kuphela ngendlela efihlakeleyo ngakumbi nakwimiba engacacanga kangako yamalungelo ehlabathi abubuxoki kubomi bemihla ngemihla. Ngaba sikhetha? Ubuzwilakhe obucacileyo okanye ukuzithoba okufihlakeleyo.
Iincwadi ezi-3 eziphezulu ezicetyiswa nguPedro Baños
Le yindlela elilawulwa ngayo ihlabathi
Imfazwe ebandayo ayizange iphele tu kwaphela, yaguquka yaya kuqikelelo oluthe kratya lwamandla abo bonke (ukusuka kwezorhwebo ukuya kwezopolitiko). Kodwa imfazwe ekupheleni kosuku. Kwaye kwiimfazwe kukho iingxwelerha kunye nomonakalo wokubambisa. Ngaphandle kokuba kuyo nayiphi na impixano yemfazwe esetyenziswayo, imithetho ethile iyahlonitshwa. mithetho, kwiingxabano eziqhelekileyo zangoku kubonakala kungekho mthetho ngaphaya kwe-diplomacy ukuba kwiifom zayo kubonakala kumaziko engxabano ngendlela enobungane. Ukudityaniswa, ukukhwabanisa, ukukhuphisana, imfazwe yengqondo ... Ingcono kunoMdlalo weZihlalo zobukhosi: izitshixo ze-geostrategy yehlabathi.
Kwiminyaka ethile ngoku, ngenxa yemeko entsonkothileyo yangoku, isayensi ye-geopolitics ifumene ukubaluleka kokuba iphulukene noko emva kweMfazwe yesibini yeHlabathi. Anxulumana njani la mazwe? Zeziphi izicwangciso zamandla abazisebenzisayo?
Ngemizekelo emininzi, siya kubona ukuba kukho uluhlu lwezicwangciso zeklasikhi, zonke zinemvelaphi yohanahaniso kunye nokusetyenziswa kobuthathaka babanye, eziye zaphumelela ekuhambeni kwexesha. Siza kufumanisa ukuba kwimbali yonke uthotho lweempazamo ze-geopolitical zenziwe ezihlala ziphindaphinda. Kuba, nangona namhlanje imigaqo itshintshile, kukho iziseko ezingenakushukunyiswa kule ntsimi.
I-Colonel kunye nengcali yeqhinga lobuchule u-Pedro Baños usithatha asise kwizinto ezingaziwayo zale midlalo yokulawula phakathi kwamazwe kwaye aveze izitshixo kunye namaqhinga olawulo lwehlabathi, angekho ngaphezulu okanye ngaphantsi kwemithetho esebenzayo yendalo yonke ukufezekisa iinjongo zethu ngokukhohlisa umchasi.
Indawo yeNgqondo: iGeopolitics yeNgqondo
Ngendlela a UAsimov Namhlanje, uPedro Baños uphonononga kwelona xabiso lomntu kwaye apho i-dystopias emnyama iqikelelwa khona: ubukrelekrele.
Ngoncedo lwakhe olwamkelweyo kunye noxolo, uPedro Baños ubhekisa kuye Indawo yengqondo ikamva eliphazamisayo ―elithi, ngeendlela ezininzi, sele lingoku ngokupheleleyo― kwiimbono ezininzi: ukukhohlisa ngokwenkcubeko nangokwengqondo, (de) ukwenziwa kwemiyolelo yobuqu, ulawulo lolwazi kunye namathuba avuleleka ngendaleko ye-neurotechnologies okanye ubukrelekrele bokwenziwa. kuzo zonke iinkalo, kuquka nezomkhosi.
Ukongezelela ekudibaniseni usasazo olutyebileyo nobutyebi benkcazelo ehlaziyiweyo, lo msebenzi unikelwa njengesilumkiso esicacileyo koomatiloshe, kuba, ngokutsho kombhali ngokwakhe, “kukuvula amehlo ethu ukuze siphaphe.
Kuphela kuxa sisazi ukuba luyintoni olu hlobo lugqibeleleyo lolawulo lwengqondo kunye nendlela yokulufikelela, apho siya kukwazi ukuchasana noko kwaye silondoloze inkululeko yethu. Ke masibambelele kuloo nto inokwenzeka kuba sonke - abantwana, abafikisayo kunye nabantu abadala - sisenalo ixesha lokukhupha ubutyhefu, ukwahlukana nommandla wengqondo, sisebenzisa esona sixhobo sinamandla esinaso: sizicingele.
Ulawulo lwehlabathi: Iinkalo zamandla kunye ne-Geopolitical Keys
Ukuba kwincwadi yakhe yokuqala, Lilawulwa ngolu hlobo ihlabathi, UPedro Baños wachaza indlela, ngenxa yeyiphi kunye naziphi na izicwangciso ezinamandla ezazama, kumzabalazo onzima phakathi kwabo, ukulawula amazwe kunye nabantu, kulo msebenzi omtsha uthatha inyathelo malunga nedemokhrasi epheleleyo ye-geostrategy kunye neenkcukacha ezizizixhobo basebenzise ukuphumeza ulawulo lwesijikelezi-langa.
Amandla omkhosi, amandla ezoqoqosho, idiplomacy, iinkonzo zobuntlola, izibonelelo zendalo, ulwazi kunye nonxibelelwano lobuchule, phakathi kwezinye, ziboniswa njengezixhobo ezisetyenziswa ngamandla amakhulu ukunyanzelisa ukuthanda nokulawula kwabo. Ubuninzi babantu kunye netekhnoloji nazo zibalwa kwisikali sokulinganisa amandla ezizwe, izinto eziya kutshintsha imeko yamazwe ngamazwe kwiminyaka ezayo. Ukusuka kulo mbono, sinokubona i-hypothesis ephazamisayo yotshintsho kwi-geopolitical paradigm, isiseko esigqiba ukugqiba iintente ezenza amandla.
Kulo msebenzi ubhalwe ngokucacileyo nangokuchaneka, uPedro Baños usinika umfanekiso omangalisayo wezinto ekwenziwa ngazo ulawulo lwehlabathi, indlela engaxolelwanga, njengoko kwenzekileyo kwincwadi yangaphambili, yobungqongqo bobukrelekrele nembali. Ikhatshwa yimifanekiso emininzi ukuze ubone ngokulula iireferensi kunye nedatha, Ulawulo lwehlabathi izalisa Le yindlela elilawulwa ngayo ihlabathi kwaye iyaphinda ivuyise abo bafuna ukwazi ukuba ngokwenene amandla ezizwe ngezizwe asebenza njani kwaye loo nyaniso ifihlwe njani kuthi bemi.
Ezinye iincwadi ezicetyiswa nguPedro Baños
iindlela zehlabathi
Namhlanje kunanini na ngaphambili sibona ihlabathi liphezu kwentambo. Iibhalansi ze-geopolitical zisongela ixhala kunye nentshabalalo. Kunokubakho izisombululo, umbuzo ngowokuba ingaba lukhona na uhlobo lokwazi impucuko olunokuthi lusikhulule kwi-drift yethu, i-involution eguqulwe njengempumelelo enganeno nangaphantsi...
Singene ngokupheleleyo kwixesha ledijithali, inguqu yokwenyani yezoshishino, yezoqoqosho kunye nentlalontle esiqala ukuyijonga ngeziphumo zayo. Ihlabathi lenkqubela phambili engummangaliso yebhayoloji kwaye lilawulwa bubulumko bokwenziwa apho imisebenzi iya kuba yinoveli kodwa ingonelanga. Abemi abalupheleyo baya kuhlala kwizixeko ezixineneyo apho ubulolo buya kuba yinto eqhelekileyo.
Konke oku kuluntu olukhula ngokwahlukeneyo kwaye ngelixa sihlupheka ngenxa yentlekele yemozulu engenakunqandeka kunye neentshukumo ezinkulu zokufuduka. Umlo phakathi kwamagunya amakhulu okulawula le nyaniso entsha uya kuqina kwaye kuya kufuneka ukukhangela izisombululo ezicingayo nezisebenzayo.
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